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VE PULSE

Briefing daily

What happened, what it means, and what to watch. Every day at 10:00 AM and 5:00 PM EST.

MORNING · 10:00 AM
Pulse #6
Data of the day
250,000
Barrels per day that Chevron produces in Venezuela from its 4 joint ventures with PDVSA — a quarter of the country's total production. CEO Mike Wirth said today at CERAWeek that more changes to the Hydrocarbons Law are needed before scaling up. If Chevron stalls, 25% of production doesn't grow.
REUTERS· 15:41 EST

Chevron demands further Hydrocarbons Law changes before scaling Venezuela investment

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CEO Mike Wirth said at CERAWeek Houston that Chevron sees progress in Venezuela but the hydrocarbons law needs to reflect OFAC license conditions: contracts under US law and dispute resolution in international courts. Rodriguez has shown reluctance to discuss another reform.

VE Análisisgenerated from proprietary data and context
This is the first public signal that major oil companies will not scale investment with OFAC licenses alone. They need local law to align with Washington conditions. If Rodriguez doesn't yield on this, production stalls at ~1M bpd. The Chevron-Rodriguez tension is the sector's most important friction and nobody is covering it with this granularity.
REUTERS· 06:01 EST

Former congressman David Rivera faces trial for illegal lobbying for Venezuela's government

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Trial begins in Miami federal court. Rivera allegedly lobbied Maduro's interests before US officials to avoid sanctions. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will testify. Rivera had a consulting contract with a PDVSA subsidiary in the US.

VE Análisisgenerated from proprietary data and context
The trial will reveal documents about how PDVSA influence networks operated in Washington. For investors: the compliance risk of hiring lobbyists connected to Venezuela is real and has judicial precedent.
LIVEUAMAP· 12:00 EST

Rodriguez replaces entire military high command, including Strategic Command chief Domingo Hernández Larez

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It wasn't just Padrino. Rodriguez swore in new ministers and authorities at Miraflores. The complete high command replacement — not just Defense — confirms a total reorganization of the military chain of command.

VE Análisisgenerated from proprietary data and context
This goes beyond what was reported on March 18. It wasn't a minister change — it was a complete purge of the high command. For the investor: Rodriguez's consolidation over FANB reduces internal coup risk but concentrates power in a single person.
AP· 10:30 EST

Protest in Caracas over wages and pensions: police block the march

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Protesters demanded better wages, pensions and benefits. The Bolivarian National Police blocked the march. AP photographs show confrontation.

TRADINGECONOMICS· 09:00 EST

Brent closes at $100.49 — retreats from last week's $103+

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Crude retreats on signals of possible Iran-US talks. The Hormuz risk premium compresses slightly. Venezuelan production unchanged at 1,021K bpd.

Market today
Brent (ICE)$100.49
Tasa BCV457 Bs/USD
Reservas BCV$14.5B
Producción OPEP1,021K bpd
Daily signals
Chevron confirms 250K bpd and sees progress — maintains operation and evaluates scaling
Salary protest in Caracas blocked by police — social pressure from cost of living unresolved
Complete military high command purge: consolidation or fragility — depends on internal reaction

VE Pulse indexes headlines from public sources for informational purposes. Links direct to original content. VE Analysis is proprietary editorial work by Vene Economist LLC and does not reproduce third-party content.